← Explore Goals Goal

Scenarios that can be reliably enumerated to inform deliberations.

Urgent

Related Product Gaps

Decision Impact Forecasting and Modeling

Interface where participants input policy proposals and receive impact models, showing effects on both targeted and related outcomes with confidence intervals, assumptions, and interactive exploration capabilities.

Related Research Questions

How can we enumerate a comprehensive set of scenarios or cases that a policy needs to address?

Relevant disciplines

Simulation & Modeling Public Policy & Law

How can we identify the likelihood that key scenarios are missing?

Relevant disciplines

Simulation & Modeling

How can we track and mitigate biases within scenario mapping?

Relevant disciplines

Psychology Simulation & Modeling

How can we develop criteria and methods for prioritizing scenarios based on likelihood, impact, and relevance to deliberative decisions?

Relevant disciplines

Simulation & Modeling Public Policy & Law

How should we best treat low probability but high impact edge cases?

Relevant disciplines

Simulation & Modeling Public Policy & Law

How can we effectively account for uncertainty in scenario consequences?

Relevant disciplines

Simulation & Modeling Psychology

Related Capabilities

Enumerate scenarios

Urgent Informedness

Ability to generate lists of likely scenarios, including edge cases, in which decisions will be applied, to help participants better understand the issue space.