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Enumerate scenarios
Ability to generate lists of likely scenarios, including edge cases, in which decisions will be applied, to help participants better understand the issue space.
How this is performed now...
- Process organizers Process organizers rely on experts or organizers themselves to develop scenarios as a way of informing participants.
- Citizens' assembly organizers Citizens’ assemblies organizers will use scenarios as a way to help participants understand the logic of the issue and sometimes to help test draft proposals.
Related Resources
Research
PolicyCraft: Supporting Collaborative and Participatory Policy Design through Case-Grounded Deliberation
A collaborative policy design system enabling participatory policymaking by anchoring discussions in concrete cases rather than abstract principles, using discussion and voting mechanisms. Field studies across two university courses demonstrated that students using PolicyCraft reached greater con...
Research
Generative Social Choice: The Next Generation
Extends the Generative Social Choice framework with theoretical guarantees for approximately optimal queries and budget limits on overall slate length, addressing the challenge of producing representative slates of statements from open-ended user opinions. Uses GPT-4o to demonstrate effectiveness...
Related Product gaps
There are no related product gaps at the moment.
Related goals and research questions
Goal: Scenarios that can be reliably enumerated to inform deliberations.
How can we enumerate a comprehensive set of scenarios or cases that a policy needs to address?
Urgent
How can we identify the likelihood that key scenarios are missing?
Urgent
How can we track and mitigate biases within scenario mapping?
Urgent
How can we develop criteria and methods for prioritizing scenarios based on likelihood, impact, and relevance to deliberative decisions?
Urgent
How should we best treat low probability but high impact edge cases?
Urgent
How can we effectively account for uncertainty in scenario consequences?
Urgent